Decline Curves

Decline Curves

I collected these equations from my reservoir engineering course while I was pursuing my postgraduate diploma in Reservoir Engineering at the Universidad de Buenos Aires in Argentina. I just replicated the equations of one of the assignments to code.

Here are the equations for the different types of decline curves.


Exponential Decline

Exponential Decline factor


Where:

  • λ = the annual decline rate
  • d = the decline rate in percentage, and 12 represents the months in a year

Exponential Monthly decline rate

Exponential Production Rate

Where:

  • Q(t) is the production rate at time 𝑡
  • Q0 ​ is the initial production rate
  • 𝑑 is the decline rate (as a percentage)
  • 𝑡 is the time in years

Exponential Cumulative Production Change


Harmonic Decline

Harmonic Production Rate

Where:

  • q = current production rate
  • Q(t) = the production rate at time t
  • Qo = the initial production rate (qoi)
  • b = the decline rate parameter
  • t = time in years

Harmonic Cumulative Production

Where:

  • Np(t) = the cumulative production at time t
  • Q0 = the initial production rate
  • b = the decline parameter
  • Q(t) = the production rate at time t
  • The multiplication by 365 converts the result into yearly production, assuming 365 days per year

Harmonic Cumulative Production Change


Hyperbolic Decline

Hyperbolic Production Rate

Where:

  • Q(t) = the production rate at time t
  • Q0 = the initial production rate
  • n = the hyperbolic exponent
  • b = the monthly decline rate
  • t = the time in years

Hyperbolic Cumulative Production

Where:

  • Np(t) = the cumulative production at time t
  • Q0 = the initial production rate
  • n = the hyperbolic exponent
  • b = the monthly decline rate
  • Q(t) = the production rate at time t
  • The multiplication by 365 converts the result to yearly production assuming 365 days per year

Hyperbolic Cumulative Production Change

For more info about decline curves, check PetroWiki

Year # qo (BOPD) Np (BOPD) ΔNp (BOPD)

Developed by Henry Herrera 

Comments